NFL Championship Playoff Game Picks

Josh’s Postseason Record: Spreads (6-2), Winners (7-1)

Green Bay Packers (13-4) +7.5 @ Seattle Seahawks (13-4) -7.5

Josh’s Pick: Green Bay Packers +7.5

Unfortunately I think Seattle will end up in the Super Bowl when this one is all said and done, but giving Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense an over a touchdown spread is too nice not to pick. Seattle’s offense gave me no confidence in their showing against Carolina, however there defense looked as stout as it has played all season long. Rodger’s torn calf muscle will impact the outcome of this one, as Rodger’s mobility is a big perk to his game. I could see the Packers winning but they need to protect the football and hope for a fumble by Wilson or Marshawn Lynch or hope for a rare Wilson interception. Seattle’s defense often creates for its offense and if the Packers can move the ball on long drives they can absolutely keep this one close and end up stealing the game on the road.

Jacks pick: Seattle

As much as I would love for the Aaron Rodgers to go on the road and grit out a win with a calf injury but I just can't see it happening. This defense is playing on a ridiculously high level and Rodgers showed a severe lack of mobility last week against a not great Dallas D. Usually he is one of the most mobile QB's in the league and he is going to need to extend plays to break down coverage by their secondary.  Unless Eddie Lacy really gets going I think the Seahawks will win this by at least 10 points. 

Indianapolis Colts (13-5) +6.5 @ New England Patriots (13-4) -6.5

Josh’s Pick: New England Patriots -6.5

Perhaps I am being a bit overconfident but I think the Colts are an ideal matchup for the Patriots. Offensively the Patriots are one of the most versatile teams in the league and create a lot of mismatches through their formations against a Colts’ defense that is somewhat devoid of top tier defenders. However, Andrew Luck can always keep games in contention and the game is never over until he allows it to be. The Patriots defense also was pretty flimsy against Baltimore a week ago, so if I were to make a bet, I believe the Packers are a safer pick to take. I can see the Patriots defense clamping down and forcing turnovers as they have the only other three times they have faced Andrew Luck. 

Jacks pick: New England Patriots -6.5 

I'm taking the Patriots to cover this one too. This team has been an absolute juggernaut at home this season and they have already beat the Colts. The time they beat the Colts Jonas Gray had 200 yards and 4 TD's but Indy has vastly improved their run since then with the return of LB Arthur Jones. I still think the Patriots offense is too complete to be stopped by the Colts and it would take a miracle game by Luck to pull out the win and I think the pats win by at least one TD.