Week 16 NFL Game Picks

Josh's Record (156-67) - (2-1 so far this week) 

Jack's Record (131-75) - (2-1 so far this week)

Minnesota Vikings (6-8) @ Miami Dolphins (7-7) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Dolphins

Despite losing their last two games against AFC playoff opponents (the Ravens and the Patriots), I like Miami being able to take advantage of a young Vikings team. Miami struggles most against the run and Minnesota won’t be able to utilize that as Matt Asiata will be the lead back again for the purple people eaters. Bridgewater should have another modest game that shows his potential but ultimately the Miami pass rush will be able to create big plays for the ‘Fins defense and hand Miami the home win.

Jack’s Pick: Dolphins

Following back to back losses, the Dolphins are essentially out of the playoff race in the AFC.  I still think they will beat Minnesota because they are playing at home where their pass rush excels and it will be able to bother young QB Teddy Bridgewater.  

Baltimore Ravens (9-5) @ Houston Texans (7-7) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Ravens

The Ravens exhibited offensive struggles last week against a 2-12 Jaguars team that ultimately came down to the final drive of the game. I would be slightly concerned as a Ravens fan as the ground game looked inept most of the afternoon, but I look for Justin Forsett and Bernard Pierce to pick some more yards up this week against a Texans defense that sporadically struggles against the run. Arian Foster should be the focal point of the offense for the Texans, as Case Keenum will be starting for Houston. That plays well to the strength of the Ravens defense who loves stopping the run with rookies Timmy Jernigan and CJ Mosely. The Ravens have had a poor pass defense since DB Jimmy Smith went out for a season and I don’t see the Texans being able to expose that in Keenum’s first start of the season, so I am taking the Ravens.

Jack’s Pick: Ravens

This is a huge game for the Ravens as the team that is one game ahead of them in the division race, the Bengals, have the Broncos coming up, so a win today and a Bengals loss can help the Ravens a lot when it comes to playoff position.  It could also greatly help America by not making us watch Andy Dalton implode in the postseason for the 4^th straight year.  I think the Ravens will win this one on the road to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Detroit Lions (10-4) @ Chicago Bears (5-9) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Lions

When these two teams played earlier on Thanksgiving the Bears had no answer for Calvin Johnson as he was wide open on seemingly every ball thrown his way. I don’t think they will have an answer for him again, and even if they do that leaves a lot of opportunities open for Golden Tate and their squad of tightends. Jimmy Clausen will also be getting the start for the Bears and although his play is a variable, I am airing on the side of caution and trusting a Lions secondary that has made plays and turnovers all season long.

Jack’s Pick: Lions

I don’t know what shows that your team has hit the basement more: starting Jimmy Clausen in week 16 or paying Jay Cutler 15 million guaranteed next year.  I think this will be a repeat of thanksgiving and the Lions will come out and feast on the young secondary of the Bears en route to an easy win.

Cleveland Browns (7-7) @ Carolina Panthers (5-8-1) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Panthers

I’m not ready to write Johnny Manziel off but that was a terrible first start for the rookie. Cam Newton returns to action at home this week after coming back from his car accident back injury. I look for Cam to provide the Panthers with enough of a spark to overcome a nulled Cleveland offense and stay alive in the NFC South title race (with a win and a Saints loss, they would lead the NFC South heading into week 17). So motivation has a lot to do with why I am taking the Panthers.

Jack’s Pick: Panthers

If there is a defense that Johnny Football would benefit the most from playing right now it might be the Panthers, or it is at least located in the NFC South.  I think the Panthers win this one but Johnny will at least have some success and show some flashes of what he could potentially be. 

Atlanta Falcons (5-9) @ New Orleans Saints (6-8) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Saints

Atlanta took the first divisional game back in week 1 and I look for the Saints to respond by winning on their home turf, something they have abnormally struggled with the ladder half of this season. I believe Drew Brees knows how to win big games and I think he comes through and has a masterful performance against a subpar Falcons defense. I think Matt Ryan has a great game as well but Brees gets the edge from a fired up home crowd. If the Saints win, they have full control of the NFC South going into week 17.

Jack’s Pick: Saints

I think New Orleans will win this game and get an advantage on securing a HOME PLAYOFF GAME AT 6-10 OR 7-9, while my eagles are going to go 10-6 and miss the playoffs.  No I’m not bitter whatsoever. 

Green Bay Packers (10-4) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-12) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Packers

I want to say this one could be close but I don’t see it happening. Even though Rodgers isn’t nearly as great on the road as he is at home, there is no way he has back to back weeks where he plays the worst two single games of his career. I look for the receivers to have sharper hands this week as well (as they usually do) and for the Packers to bounce back in a big-positive way in Tampa.

Jack’s Pick: Packers

This game really shouldn’t be much of a contest as Tampa would benefit much more from losing this game for a high draft pick and GB is looking for a number one seed.  Also I like Rodgers against this secondary all day.

Kansas City Chiefs (8-6) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (9-5) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Steelers

I really like this matchup for the Steelers as the Chiefs really struggle against the rush, ranking 28^th in rush defense. The strength of the Chiefs defense is their pass defense accompanied by their pass rush which I look for the Steelers to diffuse with quick passes to Le’Veon Bell in flat as well as screens to Antonio Brown. The weakness of the Steelers defense is their secondary and I don’t see Alex Smith and the often criticized Chiefs receiving corps to be able to take advantage of Ike Taylor, Cortez Allen, and William Gay. This game has major playoff implications in the AFC so it is definitely one to watch.

Jack’s Pick: Chiefs

This game is an absolute must win for both teams if they want to stay alive in the playoff race.  KC is now technically 3^rd in the division with SD’s comeback win over SF yesterday so they need a win to keep their chances alive.  I think they will beat the Steelers and my bold prediction is that in week 16 the Chiefs will finally have a WR score a TD.

New England Patriots (11-3) @ New York Jets (3-11)

Josh’s Pick: Patriots

The Jets played the Patriots about as well as they could have in their previous Thursday night matchup earlier this year, and I look for the Patriots to respond as if they had lost the game. The Patriots know that they have to win out (or hope for a Denver loss) to retain the number one seed in the AFC and have the playoffs go through Gillete.  Knowing this, I think Tom Brady has a great day through the air and picks a part a Jets secondary that has been victimized all season long by opposing quarterbacks. The Jets will have to run the ball often and successfully, like they did in their previous match up, to have a chance in this one.

Jack’s Pick: Patriots

New England is looking for that number one seed to secure home field advantage throughout the playoffs which may secure them a trip to the superbowl with how dominant they have been at home.  Jets should just continue to #SuckForTheDuck and lose this game so they can remove whatever is left of Geno Smith and Mike Vick from the starting QB position.

New York Giants (5-9) @ St. Louis Rams (6-8)

Josh’s Pick: Rams

The Rams have played solid football the second half of this season with some very credible wins on their “resume.” I honestly see this game going either way, but I am having confidence in the Rams pass rush to disrupt Eli Manning enough to have him make some costly turnovers. This game has no playoff implications but the Rams are always a fun team to watch, as is Giants rookie Odell Beckham Jr. (OBJ) who could be in for another big game as the Rams don’t really have a corner to shut him down (I feel like he would torch Janoris Jenkins on some plays). If the Rams can somewhat contain OBJ then I believe they win this football game.

Jack’s Pick:

Buffalo Bills (8-6) @ Oakland Raiders (2-12)

Josh’s Pick: Bills

Oakland has two wins this year, the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Fransisco 49ers who are two credible teams in the NFL, so no game is truly out of reach for them. However, arguably no team had a better week 15 then the Buffalo Bills who gave Aaron Rodgers the worst outing of his career and by far of this season. In week 14 the Bills also snapped Peyton Manning’s consecutive TD record and played them close all day long. Although this could be a trap game for Buffalo and it could be close (1-2 score game), they are one of the hottest team in football vying for a spot in the playoffs and I don’t see them faltering against an inferior opponent.

Jack’s Pick: Buffalo

Buffalo is coming off a very impressive win over the Packers and have been the first team to stop Aaron Rodgers since the famous r-e-l-a-x press conference.  I see them picking up an easy win today on their road to going 10-6 and missing the playoffs, Bills fans you can join Eagles fans at the bar. 

Indianapolis Colts (10-4) @ Dallas Cowboys (9-5)

Josh’s Pick: Colts

I am big on the Cowboys band wagon this season as a legitimate team but they have struggled at home this season and this game isn’t exactly a must win for them (although it puts the pressure off til next week if they lose). The Colts lead the NFL in passing offense while the Cowboys are 23^rd in defending the pass. The Colts have a completely middle of the road defense but Vontae Davis matches up as well as a corner could against Dez Bryant (I still expect Dez to win some of those matchups). The Cowboys can win if they grind Demarco Murray and control the clock but that is also unlikely as Murray will be playing hampered with a broken hand. Even with minimal time Andrew Luck is still dangerous and can put points up fast so I am expecting somewhat of a shootout and an exciting game to watch. Dallas is also 7-0 on the road but only 2-5 on their home turf which is not exactly the record you want heading into a home game against a strong opponent in week 16.

Jack’s Pick: Cowboys

With a win today the Cowboys will secure the NFC East division crown and a playoff spot.  Indy really has nothing to play for because they already clinched the division and have almost 0 chance of catching the Pats for a number one seed.  So the Cowboys should sadly lock this one up.

Seattle Seahawks (10-4) @ Arizona Cardinals (11-3)

Josh’s Pick: Seahawks

I don’t know who I would rather have win this game, but Seattle is going to win it. Whether Ryan Lindley or Logan Thomas starts, the Seahawks defense will overwhelm them on the road as they have been playing their best football in the recent weeks. Russell Wilson and the ‘Hawks offense won’t exactly look pretty but it will be enough to scrape out the road win for the defending champs. If the Seahawks win this week they also claim the number one seed in the NFC.

Jack’s Pick: Cardinals

If the Cardinals somehow pull this win off with 0 running game and Ryan Lindley starting at QB I would start investigating to see if there is evidence of wizardry happening in Arizona.  I think the Cardinals will be barely able to move the ball in this game and could easily be shut out by the Seahawks D.

Denver Broncos (10-4) @ Cincinnati Bengals (9-4-1)

Josh’s Pick: Broncos

I love picking against the Broncos but I don’t have enough confidence in the Bengals to do it this week even at home. Peyton has to have an off game for the Bengals to win this one, as Demaryius Thomas, Julius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders should have some open targets as the Denver offense creates open players with the amount of talent the team possesses. Aqib Talib also lines up beautifully wit AJ Green and I have way more confidence in the Denver defense (also with Ware, Miller, and Ward) to win this game for the Broncos then I do in the Denver offense. Andy Dalton also sputters in big games, and I look for this to be the week that the Bengals finally lose the lead they have in the AFC North.

Jack’s Pick: Broncos

I don’t have faith in Andy Dalton being able to outplay Peyton Manning on Monday night even if it is in Cincy.  I think Manning will have a big day against the Bengals secondary.  Also, the Broncos have been incredibly tough against the run this year which takes away the biggest weapon the Bengals have on offense so the Broncos should be able to win this one. 

Week 16 Picks 

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins 

Jacks pick: Eagles 

The Eagles are coming off a probably season ending loss to the Cowboys where the much maligned Bradley Fletcher singlehandedly blew their season by being burnt by Dez Bryant for 3 TD's. Fun stuff. I still think they will beat the Skins because it is a do or die game for them as they have to win out to make the playoffs and the skins have no reason to win. Also the Eagles are a much better team in all facets of the game so I don't think this game should be trouble for the Eagles. 

Josh's pick: Eagles 

Even with RG3 starting again there is way too much turnover at the quarterback position for Washington to put together a fluid offensive game against an Eagles defense that usually holds it's own. The eagles have been spiraling lately, losing there last two home games. I look for them to bounce back by praying on a redskins team that has been internally problematic all season long. 

San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers 

Jack's pick: Chargers 

The Niners offense has been an absolute train wreck the last few weeks. They haven't had much of a run game and Kaepernick has been abysmal. They couldn't even put up points against a horrible Raiders team. Although the Niners do still have a solid defense, Phillip Rivers and his receiving core will be a tough test for the Niners. I don't think Kaep will be able to match Phillip Rivers production and the Chargers will win. 

Josh's pick:  Chargers 

Both of these teams have wavered their play down the back half of this season and I like the Chargers taking this one because of how Phillip Rivers performs in December compared to how Colin Kaepernick always performs. The Chargers lost Keenan Allen for the season which is a major blow to any offense as he was their number one wide receiver. I would look for Antonio Gates to get more looks or Eddie Royal/Malcolm Floyd to step up. The 49ers defense has performed admirably this season despite being without two of the games best players Navarro Bowman and Patrick Willis, however I am giving San Diego the slight edge because the 49ers offense won't be that efficient against the Chargers solid pass defense.

Week 16 Game Picks

Josh's Record (156-67) - Last week (11-4)

Tennessee Titans (2-12) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-12) at 8:30 on Thursday Night

Josh’s Pick: Jaguars

After handing the game away to the Jets the Titans may be the worse team in football as the Jags have had a stout defensive effort for the back half of the season. Both teams seem decently inept on offense, but I believe the Jaguars can steal the home game in the least hyped primetime game of the season. I’m sure it will be a sloppy game, and if the Titans lose they get one step closer to that coveted first overall pick. 

Jacks pick: Jaguars

This is a horrible game with massive stakes at hand as these two 2-12 AFC South teams battle it out in Jacksonville. I'm going to pick the Jaguars to win this one in a low scoring defensive battle. Although the Jaguars might not be the best team, they do an excellent job at generating pass rush, something that former first round pick Jake Locker doesn't deal with well. The Jags should be able to rush the passer and win the battle at the line to contain first year running back Bishop Sankey and make things difficult for the Titans offense. The Jaguars just have to hope that Bortles can do something with the offense and lead them on some scoring drives. I think it will only take 17 points to win this game and I believe Bortles can get that. 

Week 15 Game Picks

Josh’s Record (145-63) – Last week (13-3)

There was no pick made for the Arizona Cardinals and St. Louis Rams Thursday Night game as both writers were in Finals week.

Pittsburg Steelers (8-5) @ Atlanta Falcons (5-8) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Steelers

This would be a tougher game to pick if Julio Jones, who has had a monster last two weeks, was active in the Falcons starting lineup. With Jones out, I don’t see the Falcons utilizing the Steelers weak secondary to their advantage as much as they could, and their offense somewhat sputtering with his absence. Le’Veon Bell should have another nice day on the ground and through the air as he continues his productive season against a Falcons defense that has given up big plays and yards all year long.

Washington Redskins (3-10) @ New York Giants (4-9) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Giants

The Giants had a big win over a very mediocre Titans squad last week. That being said, all facets of their game (offense and defense especially) seemed more refined than they had since Victor Cruz went out for the season. Odell Beckham Jr. is performing like a true number one receiver as a rookie and is consistently making top 10 highlight reel plays. The Redskins have struggled on season on offense and defense, but their offense has taken a majority of the heat due to the RG3 saga. I expect the Giants defense to buckle down in back to back games against bottom half of the league opponent.

Miami Dolphins (7-6) @ New England Patriots (10-3) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Patriots

I don’t see the Patriots losing at home to a team in December that isn’t potentially better than them (Broncos, Packers, Seahawks, etc.) The Dolphins owned the Patriots in their week one matchup, but the Pats are a completely different team, with a more solidified offensive line, recievers who have found their niche in this offense (Brandon LaFell) and a healthier Rob Gronkowski. Belichick will have more film to scheme to take Mike Wallace out of the game, confuse Ryan Tannehill at the line of scrimmage, and on top of that Patriot Killer Knowshon Moreno is not active. Also Chandler Jones will be returning to the Patriots for the first time in 6 weeks which is huge boost to an already hot defense. Cameron Wake will always give the Dolphins a chance as he is a top 5 pass rusher and can easily have a game changing strip sack at any point (as he did in their week 1 matchup). Lastly, the Patriots never get swept by a division opponent and I don’t see them dropping the home game that they know keeps them in first place of the conference if they win.

Oakland Raiders (2-11) @ Kansas City Chiefs (7-6) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Kansas City

Oakland shocked the NFL world a few Thursday nights back when they upset the Chiefs in the Black Hole. This matchup will be played in Arrowhead where the Chief faithful will be there to take vengeance on the Raiders. I am mostly taking the Chiefs because even though Oakland has shown improvement the last three weeks (St. Louis game aside), I don’t see Kansas City losing twice to Oakland in one season.

Houston Texans (7-6) @ Indianapolis Colts (9-4) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Colts

The Colts can clinch their division with a win over the Texans today while the Texans will remain alive in the AFC South title and the wildcard race with a win. I believe that Andrew Luck will take care of business at home and Fitzpatrick’s “Fitzmagic” will run out. Fitzpatrick has played very well in his return but take it with a grain of salt because those games came against the Titans and the Jaguars. I believe the Houston offense will still be productive and effective in putting up points, but not able to keep up with Luck’s high paced offense and eventually will fall by two scores.

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) @ Baltimore Ravens (8-5) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Ravens

The Ravens pulled out a critical win on the road against a hot Dolphins team last week and I don’t look for them to slack on a very winnable home game against the Jaguars. The Jaguars have yet to win on the road this season, and I don’t see that streak coming to an end today against a very well coached Raven’s group.

Green Bay Packers (10-3) @ Buffalo Bills (7-6) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Packers

I expect this game to be similar to the Broncos game a week ago for the Bills, closer than a lot of people expect. Buffalo is a tough atmosphere to play in and Aaron Rodgers isn’t the same dominant QB on the road as he at home (still top 5 guaranteed though). I trust the Bills defense as they have been a good group all year long, but Buffalo’s offense doesn’t have the consistency to keep pace the Packers offense, unless their defense can force turnovers. Unfortunately for Buffalo, Green Bay turns the ball over as little as anyone, and Aaron Rodgers is at the top of most people’s list for least likely to make a mistake during a game. With all those factors combined, I am taking the Packers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-11) @ Carolina Panthers on Sunday (4-8-1) at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Buccaneers

Derek Anderson will start for the second time this season, and for the second time against the Buccaneers. I don’t see Anderson beating any team in the NFL twice in one season, so I am taking a risk and picking the Bucs. Mike Evens and Vincent Jackson should see a large amount of jump balls against a struggling Panthers secondary, and I believe those two players will propel the Buccaneers to the win. The Bucs also have a decent amount of talent on defense and I bet they force a turnover or two out of Anderson to help spur their offense.

Cincinnati Bengals (8-4-1) @ Cleveland Browns (7-6) on Sunday at 1PM

Josh’s Pick: Browns

I’m taking Johnny Manziel in his first career start but not because of him, because of the Browns defense. The Browns allowed two offensive touchdowns to the Colts last week while scoring two of their own. The Browns defense has played stout and consistent all year long, and with any offensive production in the games against the Bills or Colts, they would have come out with wins. I think Manziel will provide enough of a spark to carry the Browns to win if the defense plays the way it has all season.

New York Jets (2-11) @ Tennessee Titans (2-11) on Sunday at 4:05PM

Josh’s Pick: Jets

These teams are in the bottom of the AFC along with the Jags. I am taking the Jets because they are competitive against almost every team and it seems that Tennessee is torched by every team they play. I expect this game to be sloppy and a lot similar to the Jets loss last week to the Vikings (except they will win this time). The Titans haven’t done anything offensively recently to make me think they will be able to score and put up points against a decent Jets front seven.

Denver Broncos (10-3) @ San Diego Chargers (8-5) on Sunday at 4:05PM

Josh’s Pick: Chargers

This is definitely one of the hardest picks of the day. Manning is 5-1 against San Diego since joining the Broncos, with his one loss coming on a Thursday night home game last season. The Broncos looked vulnerable last week, only dropping 24 points on the Bills at home, however the Chargers looked far worse, not even being able to move the ball in the second half against the Patriots. I am taking San Diego to win this one, half with my heart and half with my brain (because I would really like the Broncos to lose as a Patriots fan). The Chargers missed a lot of easy throws and had a lot of mental errors against the Patriots that are easily correctable. I look for Melvin Ingram to make his presence felt again and the Chargers to not drop two in a row at home.

Minnesota Vikings (6-7) @ Detroit Lions (9-4) on Sunday at 4:25PM

Josh’s Pick: Lions

With everyone on the Lions healthy, I expect them to take the home win in a defensive struggle against the Vikings. I am high up on Teddy Bridgewater’s future but do not believe he is consistent enough to beat a top 7 NFL defense. The Vikings also to have a running game by any standards to diffuse the interior and exterior pass rush that Lions generate and the inability to run the ball will hurt the Vikes if they hop out to an early lead. I see both offenses making some mistakes but the Lions will end up being able to produce more with the talent they have on offense.

San Francisco 49ers (7-6) @ Seattle Seahawks (9-4) on Sunday at 4:25PM

Josh’s Pick: Seahawks

The Seahawks are playing like one of the hottest teams in football especially on defense; San Francisco is not. Seattle is at home where they have had a major home field advantage since 2011; San Francisco is not. Seattle doesn’t have Colin Kaepernick; San Francisco does. All of these factors combine to what I believe will be a Seahawk victory and a 49er loss.

Dallas Cowboys (9-4) @ Philadelphia Eagles (9-4) on Sunday night at 8:30PM

Josh’s Pick: Cowboys

The previous matchup between these two teams went horribly wrong for the Cowboys in every way it could and I don’t see that happening again. Dallas has yet to lose a road game this season, and I believe they will look to establish the run early and often in an attempt to dominate the line of scrimmage, something they failed to do against the Eagles earlier this season. Dez Bryant will be fired up and hopefully have a bigger impact and through “Sanchonian” theory (Sanchez Theory) he is bound to have a bad game against a team he had previous success playing against. The Eagles running game can absolutely kill the ‘Boys like it did earlier this season, but if the Eagles keep squandering opportunities in the redzone, I believe Dallas can steal this home game from them. One thing that does worry me is that it is somewhat unlikely that the Eagles lose back to back home games.

New Orleans Saints (5-8) @ Chicago Bears (5-8) on Monday Night at 8:30PM

Josh’s Pick: Saints

Before this game is played the Saints will know the fate of the Atlanta and Carolina games, and that will be fuel/motivation for them to come out of Soldier Field with a win. I will look for Mark Ingram to shoulder the load against a Bears team that has struggled tremendously against the run (and the pass). Drew Brees has played well on the road recently, and oddly has struggled at home. This game should be exciting to watch as both offenses are loaded with talent while the defenses rank in the bottom quarter of the league in terms of yardage. I think Jay Cutler has a decent game but falls in line with the criticism he has taken this week and ends the game with a costly turnover.

Week 14 NFL Game Picks

Josh’s Record: (132-60) – Last Week (8-8)

Jack’s Record: (123-69) – Last Week (12-4)

Pittsburg Steelers (7-5) @ Cincinnati Bengals (8-3-1) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Bengals

As much as I want to take the Steelers, their stock dropped a lot last week when their defense gave up a big day to Drew Brees and the Saints passing attack on the road. The holes in their secondary give a lot of room for Dalton, AJ Green, Mohamed Sanu and Co. to put in an efficient day. This is a critical matchup in the AFC North and wildcard race, so I could see the Steelers gutting it out, but with Vontez Burfict easing his way back into the Bengals defensive front seven, Cincy may be able to shut down Bell; to an extent, giving Dalton more opportunities on offense.

Jack’s Pick: Bengals
I have gone back and forth on this pick many times because both of these teams are so inconsistent.  This game totally depends on what Andy Dalton will show up, is it going to be the one who faced Cleveland or will he actually be able to make some plays against Pittsburgh’s weak secondary.  Ultimately, I don’t think Pittsburgh has a CB that can match up with AJ Green and he will be a mismatch all day long.  Bengals win this one at home and increase their AFC North lead.

St. Louis Rams (5-7) @ Washington Redskins (3-9) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Rams

Rams are playing as one of the hottest teams in football last week, and are coming off one of the NFL’s more dominant wins of the season (granted it was over the Raiders). The Redskins are still not even a midlevel team with Colt at quarterback, but this game has a potential to be close as the Skins do have the offensive talent to make the game competitive. A subplot for this game is the RG3 trade was done between these two teams.

Jack’s pick: Rams
The St. Louis Rams are a legitimately good team, they just took too long to figure it out and now have no shot at making the playoffs.  Last week they blew out the Raiders 52-0 and two weeks before that they held Peyton Manning’s Broncos to 7 points.  I think they will handle the Redskins who are amidst a horrible QB controversy and are struggling mightily recently.  Also they will be without their best receiver Desean Jackson so I think the Rams should be able to take this one easily.

New York Giants (3-9) @ Tennessee Titans (2-10) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Giants

Was close to picking the Jags last week over the Giants but didn’t have the confidence in Bortles. At this moment in time I would rather have Mettenberger starting for me, however the Titans don’t really have the consistent weapons on offense or defense to make me want to take them in this matchup. The Titans secondary was torched for six TDs last week by Ryan Fitzpatrick, so Eli and ODB could put something similar together.

Jack’s pick: Giants
These two teams have not been playing well as of late, the Titans have lost their last 6 games and the Giants have lost their last 7.  I give this one to the Giants because they have much stronger skill position players with a healthy Rashad Jennings this week.  Tennessee’s pass rush isn’t strong enough where the Giants horrendous offensive line should be too much of an issue.  They will give Eli a little time to throw and he will be able to take advantage of it on the way to ending their 7 game losing streak.

Carolina Panthers (3-8-1) @ New Orleans Saints (5-7) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Saints

The Saints won this matchup earlier this season on a not-so-great Thursday night game, snapping their road losing streak. I have no doubt that they will handle themselves against Carolina, who is still showing to be one of the worst overall teams in the NFL. I believe Brees will have another big week against the Panthers below average secondary; hopefully the Panthers don’t allow two blocked punts for TDs in this one.

Jack’s pick: Saints
The much maligned NFC South finally gained some street cred with two out of division wins last week.  The Saints have started to play much better as of late and need a win to gain an advantage on the Falcons who are probably going to lose on Monday to the Packers.  Carolina has been absolutely horrendous this year and has no running game, no receivers, no offensive line and no defense.  Basically they have just Cam Newton and that is not going to be enough to beat the Saints.  I think the Saints win this one by 20+ points.

New York Jets (2-10) @ Minnesota Vikings (5-7) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Vikings

The Vikings are a more consistent Teddy Bridgewater and good running game away from being a legitimate opponent each and every week. Their defense has been stout all season long with the exception of one Green Bay game earlier this season and that was on a Thursday night. I love the match up of Anthony Barr, Everson Griffen and the Vikings defense against a Jets offense that has been one of the worst and most inconsistent in Football. However, it would be a typical Jets move to win and get a worse draft pick.

Jack’s pick: Vikings
The Jets basically choked away a win at home against the Dolphins last week in the most unwatchable Monday night game in recent memory.  Vikings just killed the Panthers at home and I think they will pick up a win against the Jets too.  Minnesota has quietly had a top 15 defense this season and I think they will completely shut down whatever is left of the Jets offense.  Dominance on defense is going to bring Minnesota their 6th win of the year.

Baltimore Ravens (7-5) @ Miami Dolphins (7-5) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Ravens

With Terrell Suggs coming back I think this Ravens defense gains a big boost after coming off a deflating loss to San Diego at home last week. The Dolphins were able to edge by the Jets, sealing the game with an interception on the final drive of the game. I think the Ravens bounce back in typical Harbaugh fashion and show that they deserve a playoff seed with a dominant win over the Dolphins. When the Ravens play the defense they are capable of they are one of the best teams and dark horses of the AFC.

Jack’s pick: Dolphins
This game is very close as these two teams are pretty much equally matched.  Baltimore has better weapons in the receiving game but the Dolphins have a much better defense.  I think the Ravens are really going to miss Haloti Ngata in this game as a run stopping presence against the 10th ranked Dolphins rushing offense.  Miami also has a great pass rush especially when they play at home so I think they will be able to get to Flacco and force some mistakes from the pressure they generate.  Miami will help themselves greatly with a win today and get closer to getting a wildcard spot.

Indianapolis Colts (8-4) @ Cleveland Browns (7-5) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Colts

This a must win game for Cleveland and I don’t think they pull through. Hoyer has played poorly his last few outings tossing five interceptions in his last two games, and 1 TD in his last four games (granted in one of those matchups they had a lot of goal-line rushing touchdowns). I don’t see the Cleveland offense being able to keep up with Colts offense throughout the course of the game. The Redskins had a strip sack and a pick in their first two defensive series against the Colts last week and still ended up losing by two scores. At this point in the season I trust Andrew Luck against a decent defense than Hoyer against a middle of the road defense.

Jack’s pick: Colts
 Cleveland has very much regressed over the last few weeks after the loss of center Alex Mack.  They had a great running game behind a very powerful interior line and that set up the play action in the passing game which the Browns used the second most in the NFL.  Now that the running game isn’t working the play action goes with it and they are having trouble scoring points.  I think Luck and the Colts will walk all over the Browns and grab a win on the road.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-10) @ Detroit Lions (8-4) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Lions

Detroit played well against the Bears last week which was to be expected, and the Bucs are coming off a crushing loss that really should have been a win for them over the Bengals. The Bucs seem to play a lot of teams close so I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a one score game for a majority of the day. Josh McCown isn’t the most mobile quarterback and he doesn’t have great pocket presence, so I could see Suh, Fairley, Mosely, Ansah, and Co getting after the quarterback and causing some arrant throws. I am picking the Lions based on their defense, not their revered offense.

 Jack’s pick: Lions
The Lions have to win this game if they want to stay alive in the playoff race now that the packers have the lead in the division.  I think they should be able to get the win and their first ranked defense should be able to hold the Bucs.  I think they will have problems with rookie WR Mike Evans as he has been on fire recently and you can’t double him with Vincent Jackson’s presence on the other side of the field.  The combination of Detroit’s passing and defense should be able to get them a win to move to 9-4 and move to 9-4 and get closer to a playoff spot.

Houston Texans (6-6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) at 1PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Houston

Fitzpatrick came in last week and showed he can lead this offense to success, throwing six touchdown passes against the Titans. The Jags have a slightly better defense, but the way Fitz gelled with the offense and Deandre Hopkins in his first game back is a good sign for this offense moving forward. I trust Houston’s offense over Jacksonville’s despite the Jags coming off the win last week.

Jack’s pick: Texans
The Jaguars are feeling good after coming back from 21 down against the Giants last week and the Texans had a blowout win over their division rival Titans last week.  Blake Bortles has struggled this year in large part because they haven’t had much of an offensive line and JJ Watt is going to absolutely feast this week.  I could honestly see him getting 4+ sacks today going against the Jaguars line.  I think Watt’s presence as a rusher will shut down anything the Jaguars have on offense and lead to a Texans win.

Buffalo Bills (7-5) @ Denver Broncos (9-3) at 4:05PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Denver

Denver dismantled Kansas City in a game that many, including myself, thought would be close or a Chiefs win. Manning showed his offensive struggles were more of an outlier to their team and not a norm, and Von Miller/Demarcus Ware look as dangerous as ever. Buffalo strength is their run defense, so that is a mismatch in favor of Denver, who can happily take crappy run plays because of the explosiveness of their passing attack. I also like Denver at home, where they are undefeated this year.

Jack’s pick: Denver
Buffalo has been playing well recently and their front seven is strong enough to give the Broncos problems but I just don’t see any situation where Kyle Orton comes in and outduels Peyton Manning.  Denver’s edge rushing duo of Von Miller and Demarcus Ware are going to be able to get pressure on Orton, something that he doesn’t handle well.  This game is also at home in Denver so that is another advantage for the Broncos and I think they win this game easily.

Kansas City Chiefs (7-5) @ Arizona Cardinals (9-3) at 4:05PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Cardinals

The Cardinals offense (and Defense last week) have been major struggles on this team in their two game losing spout. I do see a bounce back game from their secondary, where the Chiefs biggest receiving threat is Jamaal Charles or Travis Kelce. I think the Cardinals will stop the run early, as they did with Dallas earlier this season, then rely on big plays from their talented defense to set up some scores on offense. Fitzgerald should also be playing this week, and he is a huge component of this offense that this team has been missing.

Jack's pick: Chiefs
The Cardinals offense is horrendous and I don't think they are going to be able to make up for it on defense.  They currently have the worst rushing offense and couldn't move the ball on Atlanta's last ranked rushing offense last week, they also have Drew Stanton as their QB who isn't exactly going to be shredding secondaries.  They have great CB's but Kansas City doesn't even use their wide receivers so it shouldn't be as much of an issue for the Chiefs.  I think Jamaal Charles will run his way to a Chiefs win.

Seattle Seahawks (8-4) @ Philadelphia Eagles (9-3) at 4:25PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: Seattle

The Eagles have yet to lose a game on their home turf since the Saints knocked them out of the playoffs in the first round last year, however I do think they drop this one to the defending champs. The Seahawks are coming in playing much improved football from the middle of the season and seemed to have recaptured that competitive fire that lead them to the super bowl last year. Unfortunately, they will be without their starting center Max Unger once again, who makes the ‘Hawks offense a full level better when he is healthy. The Eagles have done nothing to make me think they’re going to lose this game, but a lot of inside passes and Shady toting the ball would only mean good things for the Eagles. However, I believe when the secondary of Thomas, Chancellor, Maxwell, and Sherman are all healthy and fired up, they are very hard to move the ball again.

Jack’s pick: Eagles
This is probably the game of the day as the defending super bowl champs go on the road to face the 9-3 Eagles.  Eagles are coming off a thanksgiving beat down of the Dallas Cowboys on the road and the Seahawks also completely dominated the 49ers and held their offense to only 3 points.  I’m picking the Eagles because the Eagles front 7 has been completely dominant recently as they held Demarco Murray to 70 yards on 25 carries and had pressure on Romo all game.  That was against the best offensive line in the league, and the Seahawks have a terrible offensive line so the Eagles are going to have Russell Wilson running for his life all game.  The Eagles have also won 10 straight games at home, and I think they will win this one in a defensive battle.

San Francisco 49ers (7-5) @ Oakland Raiders (1-11) at 4:25PM on Sunday

Josh’s Pick: 49ers

Wouldn’t be surprised if this game is close simply because both of these teams gave terrible performances last week. In all seriousness the 49ers should absolutely win this game, but they can’t endure outings where Kaepernick plays like literally the worst passer in the NFL. If I am the offensive coordinator I do a lot of read option and try to get Kaepernick the ball in space to try to solidify the should-win game.

Jack’s pick: 49ers
I want to take the Raiders because the Niners have been pretty pathetic recently, while they are 3-1 over their last 4 they have barely beaten the Giants and Redskins at that time and looked horrible at home against Seattle last week.  I didn’t pick the Raiders this week because they just don’t have the offensive firepower to compete with the Niners defense.  They have the 32nd ranked rushing offense and the 27th ranked passing offense and they also just lost by 52 to the Rams.  I think this one will be close and hard to watch but the Niners will squeak out a win.

New England Patriots (9-3) @ San Diego Chargers (8-4) at 8:30PM on Sunday Night

Josh’s Pick: Patriots

To be honest this one has me nervous. I think the Patriots loss to Green Bay last week really helped prepare them for this road game in San Diego against a less stout crowd environment. I see the Browner manning up against Floyd, Revis takes Allen and Arrington/Dennard cover Royal in the slot. When the Patriots played the Chargers a few seasons back they completely eliminated Antonio Gates from the game but Vincent Jackson lit them up for over 200 yards. A similar tactic could be employed and I could see Gates being the one weapon the Patriots attempt to take away. Either way this game will be close like last week. The Patriots will look to get Gronk the ball a lot this game, as no one on that Chargers defense can truly take him out of this game.

Jack’s pick: Patriots
This is a great Sunday night game with massive playoff implications.  The Chargers are coming off an impressive 4th quarter comeback win over the Ravens and the Patriots lost a close game at Lambeau field.  I think this is a close game because the Chargers at home but ultimately this is Tom Brady in the second half of the season after a loss.  I’m not picking the Patriots to lose back to back games.

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers at 8:30PM on Monday Night

Josh’s Pick: Packers

The Packers had a truly great win last week over the Patriots, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Julio Jones may be a different animal than Gronk, but this defense also sees Calvin Johnson, Brandon Marshall, and Alshon Jeffery twice a year. The Packers offense should have another great day as Aaron Rodgers is completely lights out at home, throwing 20 touchdowns to no interceptions at Lambeau this season. I think the Packers will be able to control Julio Jones and the Falcons recently hot passing attack, while staying consistent and dangerous on offense against an Atlanta team that has had holes in it’s secondary throughout the season (largely because they haven’t generated a great pass rush).

Jack’s pick: Packers
Atlanta brings their last ranked passing defense to Lambeau to face Aaron Rodgers who has a 143 passer rating and just shredded the Patriots excellent pass defense.  This one is going to be a bloodbath.

Week 14 Thursday Night

Week 14 Game Pick 

Dallas Cowboys (8-4) at Chicago Bears (5-7) Thursday 8:25 pm

Jack’s pick: Cowboys

Cowboys are coming off being embarrassed at home on thanksgiving and both of these teams are playing on Thursday for the second straight week.  I give a slight advantage to the Cowboys and they will be extra motivated to win this game as a loss here puts a huge dent in their playoff chances.  Bears are a tough team to predict because as bad as they have been with a 5-7 record, they still have tremendous talent on the offensive side of the ball, especially in the passing game with Martellus Bennett, Alshon Jeffrey, and Brandon Marshall.  That paired with Dallas’ declining pass defense could spell trouble for the Cowboys.  I still trust the Cowboys offense to do well against the Bears defense and I expect Dallas to win in a close shootout.

Josh's Pick: Cowboys

Despite Dallas getting manhandled by the Eagles on the line of scrimmage, I think win the battle in the trenches on both offense and defense tonight to have a solid bounce back road win. The Bears don't have anyone who can cover Dez Byrant or take away a teams number one recieving threat, and if they load the box to stop the run, I think Dallas can make them pay for taking Dez one-on-one. This game could easily be won by the Bears if their offense finally plays up the level of their potential, but I think them struggling at home on offense and defense is more likely.