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Thursday, September 25, 2014

Week 4 Picks

Week 4 Picks 

Jacks record: (28-19) - Last Week: (11-5)

Josh's Record: (30-17) - Last Week: (13-3)

New York Giants (1-2) at Washington Redskins (1-2) Thursday 8:25 PM

Jack’s pick: Redskins

Both teams may have had their best games of the season last week with both offenses coming off great performances.  I think the Redskins are a much better team overall and although the Giants offense looked great last Sunday they still have a lot of holes.  The Redskins should be able to get after Eli Manning enough to slow down the Giants offense and win this game.

Josh’s pick: Redskins

I like the Redskins on a short week. They played their hearts out against the eagles last week and came close to an on the road upset. Eli and the Giants defense is playing better week by week, but Rashad Jennings just had a 34 carry performance four days ago, so they might not be able to utilize him as much as they would like on a regular week because after all he is a human being. I believe the Giants make one too many mistakes and cost themselves the game. On a side note, all three Thursday night winners so far this season have been the home team.

Green Bay Packers (1-2) at Chicago Bears (2-1) Sunday 1:00 PM

Jack’s pick: Packers

This week is filled with very difficult games to pick and this one may be the toughest.  Chicago is going to look to avenge last year’s week 17 loss where Rodgers beat the Bears on a toss to Randall Cobb in the final minute.  These teams are so even that I’m going to give the advantage to the Packers because Rodgers always comes to play against the Bears.

Josh’s pick: Packers

Despite losing last week, I felt like the Packers received a wakeup call. If they drop this game they will fall to 1-3, obviously not the record they expected by week four. Aaron Rodgers will have a bounce back game despite going against a ball hawking Bears secondary. However Chicago has one of the most loaded offenses in the NFL and has the potential to match any team in points. I’m banking on Aaron Rodgers playing like an elite quarterback, something he has been inconsistent with this season.

Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Houston Texans (2-1) Sunday 1:00 PM

Jacks pick: Texans

Both of these teams are very equal coming in with 2-1 records.   Buffalo has certainly been more impressive with wins against the Bears and Dolphins and Houston is coming off a beat down from the Giants.  The biggest concern is Houston’s D looked lackluster against the Giants last week, however I think that is the exception not the norm.  I see Houston’s D and Deandre Hopkins leading them to a win over Buffalo.

Josh’s pick: Bills

Here we have two talented teams with two subpar quarterbacks. Both teams have traveled similar paths this season winning against their first two opponents and then dropping last week games.  I feel like Buffalo can steal this one regardless of Arian Foster’s status. A healthy Arian Foster could mean for different ends, however as he is already labeled a game time decision he wouldn’t be playing at 100%.  The Bills also should have a big day on the ground, as Rashad Jennings pounded the Texans for 174 yards last week.

Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2) Sunday 1:00 PM

Jacks Pick: Colts

After an impressive week one performance that got Titans fans feeling optimistic about the rest of the year, the team came crashing down to earth.  The Titans and especially QB Jake Locker have been terrible the last few weeks with losses to the Cowboys and Bengals.  I think Indy and Andrew Luck will handle this one easily.

Josh’s pick: Colts

Aside from their week 1 stunning of the Chiefs, Jake Locker has played very lackluster, and the team as a whole has looked shaky the last two weeks. Despite similar records, they are on completely different ends of the 1-2 spectrum. I see the Colts walking away from this one comfortably.

Carolina Panthers (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) Sunday 1:00 PM

Jack’s pick: Ravens

The Panthers travel to Baltimore in Steve Smiths first game against his former team.  I think these teams are pretty much identically talented so this game is nearly impossible to pick.  I’m going to pick the Ravens in this one because they are at home plus the added motivation for Steve Smith makes me think he is going to have a big game.

Josh’s pick: Ravens

I am a believer that the Panthers are fundamentally good football team, but last week we saw Pittsburgh scheme around the talented defense by using quick screens and short routes. I see Baltimore taking on a similar offensive mindset, while playing solid defense. Cam and the Panthers’ offense was a bit inconsistent last week, and I like that trend continuing.

Detroit Lions (2-1) at NY Jets (1-2) Sunday 1:00 PM

Jacks pick: Lions
The Lions held Green Bay to only 7 points last week which is a pretty incredible feat against that high powered offense.  If the defense plays that well against the Jets they will easily win, if it doesn’t, I still have faith that the Lions will put up points in this game.  The Jets don’t have a great secondary and will struggle to cover Megatron this week.  I see a big week from him and a win for the Lions.

Josh’s pick: Lions
The Lions are playing inspired football right now. They had a great defensive performance against the Packers last week, holding Aaron Rodgers to only 7 points. The Jets played themselves out of a victory against the Bears, as they had multiple opportunities to steal the win. The lack of consistency in the Jets redzone offense makes this pick a little easier to make considering the talent the Lions have on offense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) Sunday 1:00 PM

Jacks pick: Steelers

Steelers looked amazing after dominating the Panthers on Sunday night last week and this week should get much easier.  The Bucs are coming off an embarrassing 56-14 loss on Sunday night against the Falcons, and have been genuinely awful through three weeks.  Adding the fact that this game is in Pittsburgh I think the Steelers win this one comfortably.

Josh’s pick: Steelers

I oddly think this game will be closer than some people might expect. The Tampa roster is still loaded with talent and with Mike Glennon getting the start, you never the spark that a new QB can bring to an offense with a week of prep and a game plan. I bet Bucs play with a chip on their shoulder after being completely embarrassed last Thursday night against the Falcons. I still think the Steelers take this one but won’t be shocked if the score is within 10.

Miami Dolphins (1-2) “at” Oakland Raiders (0-3) 7:00 PM GMT (played at Wembley Stadium)

Jacks pick: Dolphins

This game is actually at 1 PM Sunday but in celebration of this year’s game at Wembley stadium I put it in Greenwich Mean Time.  I think the Dolphins will be able to handle Oakland but this probably won’t be a pretty game.  If the NFL really wants to build the brand of the NFL in England I question their decision to send these two teams for the showcase game.

Josh’s pick: Dolphins

The Dolphins were a dumpster fire against a Chiefs team that is both struggling and banged up. I look for them to respond against a lusterless Oakland squad. I expect Miami to win with their defense as they can rush the passer as well as anyone today’s NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) at San Diego Chargers (2-1) Sunday 4:05 PM

Jacks pick:  Chargers

I think San Diego wins this one handily.  Jacksonville’s defense has allowed 118 points in 3 games so far and they go against one of the NFL’s best in Phillip Rivers this week.  I expect a huge day for Rivers and the bolts offense.

Josh’s pick: Chargers

Despite my new QB sentiment from the above Bucs pick, I think the Chargers easily win this one at home. San Diego’s offense is clicking and even with their top two RBs out for this game, the Jacksonville defense still will not be able to defend Donald Brown and passing lanes will open up for a big day from Phillip Rivers.

Atlanta Falcons (2-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-2) Sunday 4:25 PM

Jacks Pick: Falcons

Teddy Bridgewater time!  Unfortunately for Teddy Ballgame, his first start will come against the Falcons who have looked great through three games so far.  I think the Falcons offense and QB Matty Ice will be too much for the Vikings to handle.  Expect the NFL’s leading receiver Julio Jones to have a big game.

Josh’s pick: Falcons

Since the start of 2013, the Falcons are 1-8 in games outside the Georgia Dome. Those aren’t great numbers for Matt Ryan and Co heading into an outside game against Minnesota. I really want to take the Vikings, but the variability of Teddy Bridgewater’s first NFL start has me picking safe and taking the Falcons. If this game featured Adrian Peterson, I would absolutely take the Vikings, but I don’t think Matt Asiata can provide enough stability for the purple people eaters to secure a home win.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2) Sunday 4:25 PM

Jacks pick:  Eagles

This is personally the hardest game to pick for me because the Eagles are very banged up but the 49ers have not been impressive this season.  I think although the Eagles are banged up and without most of their offensive line they will find a way to win this game.  The Niners secondary has not been great and they have struggled to cover the middle of the field with FS Jimmie Ward struggling and LB Navarro Bowman out with an injury.  The Eagles should use the RB’s and TE’s in the passing game to expose the Niners defense and the Eagles D should do just enough to Keep Kaepernick at bay.  Expect a close shootout.

Josh’s pick: 49ers

There are injuries on both teams coming into this game, as three eagles starting offensive linemen will be out, and Patrick Willis may also be sitting out for San Fran. I am picking the Niners because the Eagles defense last week was atrocious, giving a big day in the air to Kirk Cousins the Skins offense. I honestly think Kirk is a better passer then Kaepernick, however Kaepernick’s scrambling ability will be problematic for the Eagles who are once again likely going to be missing their best run defender in Mychal Kendricks.  If I am the 49ers, I run the ball a lot and use play action. I could see the Eagles winning if Kaep is once again inept at passing because the 49ers secondary has dealt with problems all season long. Overall though, I think the loss of talent on the Eagles for this week ultimately costs them the game.

New Orleans Saints (1-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) Sunday 8:30 PM

Jacks pick: Saints

This is the game where the Saints finally get back on track.  Drew Brees should have a huge day against the team that just gave up 340 yards to Austin Davis and 31 points to the Rams.  They will need to contain Demarco Murray and the Cowboys amazing offensive line but I think their D will step up this week.

Josh’s pick: Saints

Despite this being an away for Drew Brees, he will be playing in optimal conditions in Jerry World. The talent on the Saints offense is too much for the Cowboys to match up with on defense. I could see Demarco Murray keeping his great start to the season going rushing behind that stellar offensive line, but if this turns into a shootout, I trust the Saints offense more than the Cowboys.

New England Patriots (2-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) Monday 8:30 PM

Jacks Pick: Patriots

This game was tough to pick because New England has not looked good at all this season and QB Tom Brady has struggled.  The Chiefs just destroyed the Dolphins and have looked good these last two weeks.  I still think that Brady is going to have his first big game of the year this week.  Also: Never bet against Brady on Monday Night.

Josh’s pick: Patriots

The Pats have played uncharacteristically terrible the first three games this season. I feel like they are going to improve each week as both sides of the ball begin to gel. The Pats also have a way of showing up for big primetime games and given the Chiefs injuries on both offense (Charles and Bowe) and defense (Johnson and Berry), I see the Pats coming out with a victory on Monday night.

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Week 3 Picks

NFL Picks Week 3

Jack's Record: (17-14) - (9-7 last week)
Josh's Record: (16-15) - (9-7 last week)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-2) at Atlanta Falcons (1-1)

Both take Falcons

Jack’s Pick: Atlanta has been a tough team to judge with two games that have been completely different.  An impressive week 1 win vs New Orleans had the Falcons looking like an upper echelon team but they just got stomped by the Bengals.  No matter which team shows up, the one that  beat the Saints or the one that got blasted by the Bengals, the Falcons should be able to beat the Buccaneers who have been struggling.

Josh’s Pick: The Falcons have been a very elite home team under Matt Ryan’s tenure. Mix that with the disaster start for Tampa Bay this season, and I see the Falcons easily walking away with the victory.

Washington Redskins (1-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-0)

Both take Eagles

Jack’s Pick: The Eagles and their fans are flying high after a 30-27 comeback victory over the Colts on Monday night and the Redskins had a nice bounce back game where they slaughtered the Jaguars.  The big question is if the Eagles are going to be able to put up points in the first half.  Chip Kelly’s offense is #1 right now in yards and points but has only managed to score 6 points in their first halves this year.  Redskin’s defense has been solid as they have only allowed 16 points in two games this season but I don’t think it will be enough to stop the Eagles.  The combination of Sproles and McCoy will be too much for the Skins D to handle and the Eagles will spoil Desean Jacksons return to Philly.

Josh’s Pick: I actually am very tempted to take the Redskins, simply because Trent Richardson and Ahmad Bradshaw combined for a good outing against the Eagles run defense who is also lacking their premiere linebacker in Mychal Kendricks. However, I am sticking with the best overall team and I think the Eagles pile on for a big offensive day against a sub-par Redskins defense.

San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (2-0)

Both take Chargers

Jack’s Pick: Buffalo is definitely the most surprising team at 2-0 right now after an overtime upset over the bears and an impressive win over the Dolphins. This game is in Buffalo which gives the Bills a slight advantage but I think San Diego takes this game. They looked very impressive against Seattle last week and still have one of the best offenses in the league.  I think Rivers will carve up Buffalo’s defense and grab a victory for the Chargers.

Josh’s  Pick: The Chargers really impressed the NFL last week, beating the Seahawks at home. I like their momentum carrying despite the 2-0 start from the Bills. However, west coast teams always seem to struggle playing on the east coast.


Oakland Raiders (0-2) at New England (1-1)

Both take New England

Jack’s Pick: All is right in New England after they bounced back and beat the Vikings handily in Minnesota.  Oakland is coming off of getting beat by 3 scores by a team that was 2-14 last year.  This game isn’t tough to pick.

Josh’s Pick: This is another easy pick to make. The Patriots just had a great defensive outing against a very lack luster offense in Minnesota. I look for their strong defensive play to continue against an offense that only boasts Derek Carr and James Jones. The patriots have also won 30 straight regular season home games against AFC opponents, so I like that trend continuing as well.

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at Saint Louis Rams (1-1)

Both take Cowboys

Jack’s Pick: The Rams are coming off of a nice comeback win over the Buccaneers and the Cowboys bounced back against the Titans.  Both teams only win came against pretty bad teams but I think the Cowboys running game will get them the win in St. Louis.

Josh’s Pick: Demarco Murray has a very good track record playing against the St. Louis Rams, posting the two best games of his career in previous outings. The Cowboys showed some promise last week against the Titans, and with Austin Davis only making his second career start in NFL, the Rams are probably not going to be able to use the Cowboys biggest weakness against them (their secondary).

Houston Texans (2-0) at New York Giants (0-2)

Jack takes: Houston
Josh takes: New York

Jack’s Pick: The Giants are an absolute mess after losing to the Cardinals and Drew Stanton who hadn’t thrown a pass since 2011.  Texans are very similar to that Arizona team with a great defense and talent everywhere but the QB position.  I think Houston’s D will force turnovers and dominate this game.

Josh’s Pick: This pick comes with zero evidence whatsoever, just more of a gut feeling. Antrel Rolle, a safety for the New York Giants called this game a must win, and I can see the Giants beating a team that has some question marks on offense. They played good enough to beat Arizona last week but had too many ridiculous turnovers which ended up losing them the game. Barring a similar implosion, I see the Giants surprising some fans and giving the Texans their first blemish of the season.

Minnesota Vikings (1-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-2)

Both pick Saints

Jack’s Pick: Saints are coming off a shocking loss to the lowly Cleveland Browns and have to be excited to get home to the dome.  They are such a different team at home and I think they will easily pick up their first win of the season.

Josh’s Pick: The Saints are one of the better home teams and football, and given the turmoil surrounding the Vikings with the Adrian Peterson fiasco, I see the Saints doing what the Patriots did to the vikes last week.

Tennessee Titans (1-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-0)

Both take the Bengals

Jack’s Pick: Bengals have been one of the most impressive teams so far with wins over the Ravens and Falcons.  Titans looked good in week 1 but stumbled in week 2 when Jake Locker was atrocious.  If Locker continues to play horrendously they are going to get killed by the Bengals.  I think it would take a great performance from him to pull out the win but I’m not confident he can.

Josh’s Pick: Cincinnati just had a great home win against the Falcons, and I look for them to cruise to a comfortable win over the Titans, as home field advantage is quietly one of CIncy’s biggest advantages.

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1)

Both take the Ravens

Jack’s Pick: Cleveland looked great in their win over the Saints but I am still confident the Ravens should get this one.  Their D should be able to stop Hoyer and contain electric rookie runningback Terrence West.

Josh’s Pick: Despite the Browns impressive home victory against the Saints, I still see the Ravens roughing up their divisional rival despite being on the road. There aren’t enough constants on the Cleveland offense to have my trust to pick them.

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Detroit Lions (1-1)

Both take the Packers

Jack’s Pick: This NFC north division battle is looking like the best game of the early afternoon with these two offensive powers facing off.  The Packers haven’t looked great in the two games they’ve played but I think they will get their offense on track against the Lions.  If the Packers can keep Rodgers upright he will be able to attack the Lions defense and get the win.

Josh's Pick: Both teams display potent offenses and express some level of concern on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions secondary is arguably one of the most bottom-tier units in the NFL. Mix that with Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson and Randal Cobb and I see the Packers winning a tough one on the road. For the Lions to win the game they have to force a lot of pressure of Rodgers, which is definitely plausible given the talent in their front seven.

Indianapolis Colts (0-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2)

Both take the Colts

Jacks Pick: This is a battle of two winless teams but two very different teams in terms of talent.  Jaguars defense has looked horrendous so far, giving up 75 points in two games.  Andrew Luck should have a field day against the defense and get the win.

Josh’s Pick: One of the easier picks to make this week. Despite both teams being 0-2, the Colts have lost two close games to two good teams while the Jags have struggled mightily past the first half on opening day.

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0)

Both take Cardinals

Jack’s Pick: The Niners looked terrible in the second half against the Bears, especially Colin Kaepernick who continues to have turnover issues.  I think this game is going to be very close but I give the slight advantage to Arizona if Carson Palmer is ready to go.

Josh’s Pick: I am taking the Cardinals this week, as they have demonstrated solid defense thus far. This isn’t so much of a confidence pick in the Cardinals, but rather a lack of confidence in the 49ers who have been miscued on offense in their first two games, especially last week against the Bears. I also like Cardinals playing at home.

Denver Broncos (2-0) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

Both take Seahawks

Jack’s Pick: This is obviously the game of the week as the defending champs host the team they trounced in the superbowl.  I think these two teams are very evenly talented but I’m making a new rule that I’m never betting against the Seahawks on the road.  I think the Seahawks take this one but I would be surprised if we saw another blowout.

Josh’s Pick: I don’t see the Seahawks dropping back to back games, especially dropping a game at home. That being said, Peyton Manning is going to play with a grudge, and you want a player of Peyton Manning’s caliber playing with a grudge against you. I think the Seattle defense shuts down Montee Ball early and makes the Denver attack one dimensional, thus controlling the pace of the game. Turnovers might end up deciding this one.

Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) at Miami Dolphins (1-1)

Both take Dolphins

Jack’s Pick: Chiefs were resilient in their week 2 loss to the Broncos and had the chance to send it into overtime with little time left.  Miami got completely dominated by the Bills in Buffalo and the whole team just looked shaky.  I think being at home will help the Dolphins and Tannehill will be able to do work against the Chiefs secondary.

Josh’s Pick: I bet this game has some shaky offense and could definitely see the Chiefs being victors, but the Dolphins played very well in their home opener, and if they can generate the same defensive pressure they showed against the Patriots then the Dolphins can grab a solid home win.

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (2-0)

Both take Panthers

Jack’s Pick: Carolina’s defense looked dominant after holding the great Detroit offense to only 7 points.  I think the story will be the same on Sunday night and the Panthers will keep the Steelers offense at bay.  If Cam Newton can generate some offense I think the Carolina D will keep the Panthers unbeaten.

Josh’s Pick: Carolina is playing great team football this year. Their offense is clicking better than most have anticipated and this will be a true test for both sides of the ball. The Steelers are always a tough win are more improved than a season ago, however I like Cam and that Panther defense at home.

Chicago Bears (1-1) at NY Jets (1-1)

Jack takes: Jets
Josh takes: Bears

 Jack’s Pick: Chicago looked impressive after erasing a big lead on the road against the 49ers and NY almost pulled off an upset over the Packers.  I think the Jets defense is going to be able to force turnovers and shut down the Bears offensive attack.

Josh’s Pick: Chicago played great defense and displayed its ball-hawking ability last week against the Niners. Losing Charles Tillman for the season obviously hurts, but Kyle Fuller played great football in his place last week. Geno and the Jets passing attack won’t be able to compete with the versatile Bears offense, especially if the Bears play defense like they did a week ago. I could also see this game going the other way, if the defensive genius of Rex Ryan shows itself once again.

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Week 2 Picks

Week 2 Picks

Josh’s Record:  (7-8)
Jacks Record: (8-7)

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) @ Baltimore Ravens (0-1) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: Baltimore – Baltimore’s offense stuttered in their debut against the Bengals, but I believe the home crowd and the talent on the Ravens is enough to hold down the win. I’m sure Baltimore will want to gain some momentum in the direction away from Ray Rice.

Jack’s Pick- This matchup is so close that it is really tough to pick a winner and neither team looked particularly impressive in week 1.  The last 5 matchups have been decided by 3 points or less so I’m picking Baltimore solely because they are the home team.


Atlanta Falcons (1-0) @ Cincinnati Bengals (1-0) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: Cincinnati - After both teams are coming off impressive opening weekend wins, it’s hard to pick a clear victor. I’m giving the edge to Cincinnati because they were undefeated at home during the regular season last year and Matt Ryan isn’t the same quarterback away from the Georgia Dome.

Jack’s Pick- Matty Ice, Julio Jones and co. looked great against the Saints last week as Ryan set the franchise record for passing yards in their OT win.  Cincinnati also looked great against Baltimore but I think the Falcons offense is going to be too much for the Bengals to handle even with the advantage of being at home.


Miami Dolphins (1-0) @ Buffalo Bills (1-0) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: Miami - Buffalo’s offense is too much of a question mark to rely on at this point, so I think I Miami takes this one. The Fins offensive line will demonstrate how improved the unit is from a year ago. Knowshon Moreno has another big game, and passing lanes open up that the even the sporadic Tannehill can’t miss.

Jack’s Pick- Both Miami and Buffalo are looking impressive coming off of upsets over two upper echelon teams.  Miami was able to frustrate Tom Brady with their pass rush and force some key turnovers to get the W.  I think if they are able to get to Brady they can do the same to EJ Manuel.


Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) @ Washington Redskins (0-1)

Josh’s Pick: Washington - Jacksonville’s secondary was exposed in the second half against the Eagles. If that play continues, RG3 will hopefully be able to get some momentum going in the passing game.

Jack’s Pick- Although Jacksonville looked great against the Eagles in the first half last week, I think that performance was the exception not the norm.  After a look at the Eagles film, the Jags DB’s were unable to stay with the Eagles WR’s, Foles just had a bad day.  I think Desean Jackson and Pierre Garcon are going to be wide open all day and make some big plays and get one in the win column for Washington.


New Orleans Saints (1-0) @ Cleveland Browns (0-1) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: New Orleans - Despite Drew Brees’ noted road struggles, I don’t see a roster as talented and as deep as the Saints starting the season (0-2). Cleveland finished strong playing catch-up against the Steelers last week, but I believe the Saints get the road win.

Jack’s Pick- I don’t think this game is going to really be close, and even though the Saints look slightly vulnerable coming off a loss to the Falcons, Cleveland is not going to be able to match the Saints talent on either side of the ball.


Arizona Cardinals (1-0) @ New York Giants (0-1) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: Cardinals - Arizona’s defense seemed as vaunted as last year’s unit despite losing some of their big name players. Larry Foote was everywhere and there were a lot of role players that coordinated the efficient defensive outing. I like this streak of playing good defense continuing against Eli.

Jack’s Pick- Arizona didn’t look particularly great in their comeback win over the Chargers but they still beat a playoff team from last year.  If Larry Foote continues to play at the level he did on Monday night the Cards D is going to be great.  NY looked pretty terrible in their blowout loss to the Lions.  I think Manning isn’t going to have time to throw against the Cards solid front 7 and its gonna be another long day for the Giants O.


Dallas Cowboys (0-1) @ Tennessee Titans (1-0) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: Tennessee - Tennessee played a poor man’s version of last year’s (11-5) Chiefs unit. That being said they were still dominant in forcing turnovers and playing with ball control. I look for Tennessee to take the home win and continuing disappointment in Dallas.

Jack’s Pick- This is a tough matchup to choose from but I think that Tennessee holds a slight advantage over the Boys.  With weapons in the passing game like Kendall Wright and Justin Hunter and a solid pass defense the Titans should be able to attack the weak Cowboys defense and limit damage through the air from Romo and co.



New England Patriots (0-1) @ Minnesota Vikings (1-0)

Josh’s Pick: New England à Based on the previous week, I should really be picking Minnesota. The Vikes have a great run game, co-oped by Adrain Peterson and the explosive Corderelle Patterson (who totaled over 100 yards last week on just 3 carries). The Patriots on the other hand displayed the same bottom-tier run defense that haunted them all last season. I am picking New England purely based on faith and the confidence that Brady (and more importantly the offensive line) won’t falter like they did last week.

Jack’s Pick- This is a bit of a risk as no one would ever expect the Patriots to start 0-2 but I think the Vikings looked great against the Rams and the Pats look vulnerable.  Vikings also are at home and this looks like a formula for an upset.


Detroit Lions (1-0) @ Carolina Panthers (1-0) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: Carolina - As much as I want to pick Detroit, the Panthers really impressed me picking up a road win on week one without their starting quarterback, who is also easily their best offensive player. The Panthers defense looked great last week, but it was against a new Bucs offense that may still be working out a lot of kinks. I love Detroit’s offense, but with Carolina at home, where they were (8-0) during the last season, it’s hard not to pick the Panthers.

Jack’s Pick- This game completely depends on whether Cam Newton plays.  Derek Anderson was pretty solid week 1 but that was against the train wreck Bucs team.  Detroit looked fantastic against the Giants but the Panthers are a much better team.  If Newton plays, I give the advantage to Carolina if not Detroit takes this one.

St. Louis Rams (0-1) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1)

Josh’s Pick: Tampa Bay - St. Louis looked like a train wreck in the debut and were the only offensive unit to not score a touchdown. They were dismantled for 34 points by the Vikings and gave me no reason to trust whoever they have quarterbacking their team. Tampa has issues of its own, but are way more of a finishing product then St. Louis, who also just lost Chris Long for 8-10 weeks.

Jack’s Pick- This is a battle of two teams who were incredibly disappointing in their week 1 matchups.  St. Louis got destroyed by the 5 win Vikings and Tampa Bay had an uninspiring performance against the Panthers.  I give the advantage to Tampa because they aren’t starting their 3rd string quarterback.  Poor St. Louis.


Seattle Seahawks (1-0) @ San Diego Changers (0-1)

Josh’s Pick: Seattle As much as I want to pick the Chargers, the Seahawks looked way too dominant not trust them this week, even on the road. If the Chargers want to win this game, the San Diego defense has to force some turnovers.

Jack’s Pick- San Diego didn’t look great, Seattle looked completely dominant.  If Harvin, Lynch and Wilson play at half of the level they played at week 1 they should still pick up the win.  Chargers could pull it off simply because they have home field advantage this game but I still see Seattle winning.


Houston Texans (1-0) @ Oakland Raiders (0-1) 1:00pm

Josh’s Pick: Houston - Houston might repeat last year and start the season (2-0). The Raider’s do not have an offensive or defensive identity at this point and no one on the Oakland roster jumps out as me as a constant potential game changer. Despite inconsistency at quarterback from the Texans, they steal the game in the black hole.

Jack’s Pick- Even with the number one pick Clowney out for 4-6 weeks, Houstons defense is one of the best in the game.  JJ Watt is completely unblockable right now and is going to cause major problems for rookie QB Derek Carr.  Houston may not have a QB but their defense is going to be enough to win games.


New York Jets (1-0) @ Green Bay Packers (0-1) 4:25pm

Josh’s Pick- Green Bay - After getting bruised to an (0-1) start to the season, the Aaron Rodgers and the Packers bounce back at Lambeau and hand the Jets their first loss of the season in the process.

Jack- The Packers are coming off a tough week one loss to the Seahawks and Jets just got a road win against the Raiders but this game shouldn’t be close.  Last week they were able to hide their weak secondary but Aaron Rodgers and Derek Carr are two very different QB’s.  As long as the Packers can keep Rodgers upright, I see him having a big day and getting the win.


Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) @ Denver Broncos (1-0) 4:25pm

Josh's Pick- Denver got better and Kansas City got worse. I would be surprised if this isn’t a two touchdown victory.
Jack’s Pick- Kansas City looked terrible in their loss to Tennessee and they aren’t catching a break having to go into Denver this week.  With so many injuries to the defense, Manning is going to have a huge game and dominate KC.  This one probably won’t be close.


Chicago Bears (0-1) @ San Francisco (1-0) 8:30pm

Josh’s Pick: The Niners are definitely a little overrated by the public and this game could definitely be close, but the defense (or lack of) from the Bears allows the Niners to walk away (2-0).

Jack’s Pick- Bears are coming off a pretty big upset against the Bills at home and now they have to go on the road to face one of the best teams in the league.  Even with so many players gone on defense the Niners should have enough offensive firepower to grab this win.


Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) @ Indianapolis Colts (0-1) 8:30 Monday

Josh’s Pick: Indianapolis - Both teams showed great heart and comeback efforts last week after collectively being down 0-41 to start their seasons. In the second half, the Colts defense was able to hold Manning and the Broncos to only 7 points and really clamped down. If the Colts can plug up Shady and jump out to an early lead they can take away the Eagles biggest weapon and walk the tightrope out to a slim victory. It will definitely make for an exciting Monday night game.

Jack’s Pick- Colts are coming off a good loss and the Eagles are coming off a bad win, this made this game very difficult to decide.  I think the first half of last week for the Eagles was the exception not the norm and their offense should rise to full strength.  Indianapolis’s defense looked good in the second half last week but that was only when the Broncos stopped throwing the ball and turned to their ground game.  This game is going to be very close but I see Philly’s offense getting them this win.

Friday, September 5, 2014

Week 1 Game Picks

Throughout the season we will be doing weekly game picks and keeping a running tab of our records. We missed the Seattle vs Packer’s prediction, but we will be encompassing Thursday night games in future predictions.

Josh Fyffe (0-0)
Jack Machulski (0-0)

Week 1 Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Jack’s Pick: Ravens - Ravens make a big statement with a win over the Bengals and they show who's boss in the AFC North.  
Josh’s Pick: Ravens – In a close game, the Ravens edge out a win due to a great defensive performance. Both offenses show growing pains, but I would trust Flacco over Dalton, especially since the game is being played in Baltimore. 

Bufallo Bills @ Chicago Bears
Jack's Pick: Bears - Cutler and the rest of the Bears offense proves to be too much for the Bills defense.
Josh's Pick: Bears- The Bears offense proves to be too much for the Byrd-less/Alonso-less Bills. EJ Manuel puts together a promising first outing, but can't quite match the quintet of Cutler, Marshall, Jeffery, (Martellus) Bennett, and Forte. 

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburg Steelers
Jack’s Pick: Steelers - Steelers easily take this one while Jon Gruden sobs about Manziel not playing. 
Josh’s Pick: Steelers – Playmakers in the Steelers’ linebacking core overwhelm Hoyer, and the lack of depth at WR is blatantly apparent, as the Browns offense is stagnant all day. Big Ben doesn’t perform perfectly against the Browns defense, but ultimately does enough to outplay the Browns offense.

Washington Redskins @ Houston Texans
Jacks Pick: Texans - Texans ride their defense to start them off with a W against RGIII.
Josh's Picks: Redskins – The addition of Desean Jackson and Andre Roberts are apparent as running holes open up for Alfred Morris in the box. Lack of quality quarterback play hurts the Texans, as they can’t take advantage of the subpar defense, and the Redskins glide to a two score victory.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles
Jack’s Pick: Eagles - Eagles easily take this one over the Jaguars. Chip Kelly's offense is too much for Gus Bradley's D. 
Josh’s Pick: Eagles  - Jacksonville shows some potential in the opener, but the talent and coaching scheme of the Eagles dials up a win in week one.

Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Cheifs
Jack’s Pick: Titans - Titans grab the win in a sort of coming out party for Jake Locker. 
Josh’s Pick: Chiefs – The Titans quietly improved this offseason, only losing Alteruran Verner and Chris Johnson, but Jamaal Charles and Alex Smith perform up to level to secure the win in a closer game than some might expect.

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Jack’s Pick: Patriots - Tannehill and the Dolphins put up a good fight but ultimately fall to Brady.
Josh’s Pick: Patriots – The Patriots defense overwhelms Tannehill and Miami’s run game proves to be as inconsistent as a year ago. Tom Brady spreads the ball around and uses unique mismatches the entire game to beat the tough Dolphins defense on the road.

Minnesota Vikings @ St. Louis Rams
Jack’s Pick: Vikings -  Rams pass rush is not enough to take down the Vikings and Adrian Peterson. 
Josh's Pick: Vikings – Cassel and the Vikings offensive line struggle against St. Louis’ front seven, but the ineptitude of the Rams’ offense gives the Vikes the win. If St. Louis comes up with a win, I believe it will be because of a productive day on the ground, led by Zac Stacy and Tre Mason.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
Jack's Pick: Saints - Saints start their dominance of the NFC South with a win over Matt Ryan and the Falcons.
Josh's Pick: Saints – In a presumed offensive matchup, Drew Brees and Matt Ryan duke it out, but the Saints defense prevails and gets big plays from several defensive stars (Jarius Byrd, Cameron Jordan, Junior Gallete, and Kenny Vacarro).

Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets
Jack's Pick: Jets - Jets put up the W but when the Raiders and Jets face each other, no one wins. 
Josh's Pick: Jets – I don’t have a lot of confidence in Geno, but the Jets defense prevails against an overall shaky Oakland team.

Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jack’s Picks: Buccaneers - Cam Newton is the entire team and with Newton not at 100% I don't see him taking down the Bucs.
Josh’s Picks: Buccaneers – The inexperience in Carolina’s wide receiver corps is evident, as the improving Tampa defense plays an efficient game. The Bucs offense plays nearly as inconsistent, but playmakers Vincent Jackson, Mike Evans, and Doug Martin bail them out against a top notch Panthers defensive unit.

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys
Jack’s Pick: 49ers - Cowboys offense may be great and Niners D may be a bit depleted right now but Kaep and the Niners offense are going to have a field day. 
Josh’s Pick: 49ers – The 49ers offense looks better than anticipated against the laughable Cowboys defense. Tony Romo has some bright spots against the vaunted Niners defense, but in the end the talent on the 49ers prevails. For the Cowboys to win this game, Kaep needs to miss A LOT of throws.

Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos
Jack’s Pick: Colts - Andrew Luck works his magic and the colts somehow win this. 
Josh’s Pick: Broncos – In his first game since the Super Bowl embarrassment, Peyton Manning responds with a typical Manning game, torching the Colts spotty secondary and utilizing his numerous amount of offensive weapons. Luck shines as well, but the new additions on Denver’s defense show up to protect the victory.

New York Giants @ Detroit Lions
Jack’s Pick: Lions - Lions offense dominates through the air and Eli Manning continues to be terrible.
Josh’s Pick: Lions – Matthew Stafford explores his new weapons in Tate and Ebron and shows how dynamic the Lions offense can be this season. Eli has a misleading first game and performs well, but only because the Lions have no secondary.

San Diego Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals
Jack’s Pick: Chargers - Cardinals losses on D show as Rivers tears them apart. 
Josh’s Pick: Chargers - The losses of Daryl Washington, Darnell Dockett and Karlos Dansby make the front seven of the Cardinals drastically different than a season ago. Zona’s secondary impresses, but Phillip Rivers and Mike McCoy sustain the same offensive success as last season and put together a solid game plan to edge out a tough Monday night win. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a lot of run plays from San Diego.