Week 11 Thursday Night Game

Week 11 Thursday Night Pick

Josh's Record: Josh’s Record: 102-44 (11-2 Last Week)
Jacks Record: Jack’s Record: 92-54 (10-3 Last Week)


Buffalo Bills (5-4) at Miami Dolphins (5-4) 8:25pm Thursday

Jacks Pick: Dolphins

Both of these teams come into this Thursday night matchup with 5-4 records and are tied for second place in the AFC East.  Earlier in the year the Bills trounced the Dolphins, beating them by 19 in Buffalo, but this time I’m going to take the Dolphins.  Both teams have insane front 7’s and are ranked 3rd (MIA) and 4th (BUF) in defensive DVOA, the Dolphins also sport the second best passing defense in the league this season.  Barring a huge game by Sammy Watkins, I trust the Dolphins offense more than I trust the Bills offense to move the ball and put up points.  The one reason I think the Bills could win is that the Dolphins just lost LT Brandon Albert for the season last week and the Bills pass rush could devour his replacement and make Tannehill run for his life.  However, I don’t think that will be a big enough advantage for the Bills to beat Miami at home where they have been great this season.

Josh’s Pick: Bills 

Earlier this season we watched the Bills hand Miami their first loss of the season with a 19 point victory in Buffalo. I don’t like picking against the ‘Fins at home, but the loss of Brandon Albert is going to set this offense back. Miami has more offensive fire power to put up points, however I bet Kyle Williams and Marcel Darius stifle their run game, while Mario Williams and Jerry Hughes (who has 7.5 sacks this season) get after Ryan Tannehill. Miami’s pass defense will be the key to this game, and if they play up to their potential, they can certainly force turnovers and provide their offense with opportunities like they did earlier in the season against the Chargers. However, I believe the change on the Dolphins’ offensive line will allow Buffalo to take advantage of a talented Dolphins squad and frustrate Tannehill all night. Scott Chandler should be a big factor if the Bills end up pulling out the road win.